Chapter 18 :-
Introduction In this lesson we shall deal with index numbers which are specialised averages.
An index number is a specialised measure designed to show changes in a variable or a group of related variables with respect to time, geographical location or other characteristics. — Spiegal
Look at the following cases:
- An agricultural labourer in Kerala was getting ₹ 50 per day in 1980. Today he gets ₹ 500 per day. Does it mean that his standard of living has risen 10 times ? By how much should his salary be raised so that he is better off as before ?
- You might have read in business newspapers, statements such ‘Sensex’ crossing 30,000 mark and a single day rise’ of 800 points made to increase wealth of investors by 165,352 crores What exactly is SENSEX ?
- Within a matter of a few months, price of petroleum products has gone up by 25%. Government says, inflation rate will go up due to rise in petroleum products. How does one measure inflation ?
What is an Index Number ? An index number is a statistical device used to measure changes in the magnitude of a group of related variables.
Index numbers are usually expressed in terms of percentages. It measures the effect of changes over a period of time. There are two periods — current period and the base period. The period with which comparison is made is known as base period. The period for which comparison is made is known as current period. The value in the base period is given the index number 100. If you want to know how much the price changed in 2017 for the level in 2000, then 2000 becomes the base. The index number of any period is in proportion with it. Thus an index number of 300 indicates that the value is three times that of the base period.Characteristics:
- Index numbers are specialised averages.
- Index numbers measure the net change in a group of related variables.
- Index numbers measure the effect of changes over a period of time.
Uses of Index Numbers:
- They help in framing suitable policies.
- They reveal trends and tendencies.
- Index numbers are very useful in deflating.
- They help in measuring the purchasing power of money.
Construction of Index Numbers There are two methods of constructing an index number. They are:
- I. Aggregative method, and
- II. Method of averaging relatives.
I. Aggregative method There are two types of index numbers under this category. They are: (i) simple aggregative price index and (ii) Weighted aggregative price index.
(i) Simple Aggregative Price Index The formula for a simple aggregative price index is:
Where, P01 = Index number of the current year ΣP1 = Total of current year prices of all commodities ΣP0 = Total of base year prices of all commoditiesSteps
- i) Add the current year prices of all commodities to get ΣP1
- ii) Add the base year prices of all commodities to get ΣP0
- iii) Divide ΣP1 by ΣP0 and multiply the quotient by 100
Table 18.1 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unit | Commodities | Price (in ₹) | ||||
2020 | 2021 | |||||
Wheat | quintal | 200 | 250 | |||
Rice | “ | 300 | 400 | |||
Pulses | “ | 400 | 500 | |||
Milk | litre | 2 | 3 | |||
Clothing | meter | 3 | 5 |
Table 18.2 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unit | Commodities | Price (in ₹) | ||||
2020 (P0) | 2021 (P1) | |||||
Wheat | quintal | 200 | 250 | |||
Rice | “ | 300 | 400 | |||
Pulses | “ | 400 | 500 | |||
Milk | litre | 2 | 3 | |||
Clothing | meter | 3 | 5 | |||
ΣP0 = 905 | ΣP1 = 1158 |
Table 18.3 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | A | B | C | D | E | F |
Price in 2000 | 210 | 310 | 100 | 240 | 420 | 480 |
Price 2016 | 260 | 300 | 160 | 340 | 460 | 540 |
Table 18.4 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | Price in 2000 P0 | Price 2016 P1 | ||||
A | 210 | 260 | ||||
B | 310 | 300 | ||||
C | 100 | 160 | ||||
D | 240 | 340 | ||||
E | 420 | 460 | ||||
F | 480 | 540 | ||||
ΣP0 = 1760 | ΣP1 = 2060 |
Table 18.5 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | Price in 2010 | Price 2020 | ||||
A | 210 | 260 | ||||
B | 310 | 300 | ||||
C | 100 | 160 | ||||
D | 240 | 340 |
Table 18.6 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | Price in 2010 P0 | Price 2020 P1 | ||||
A | 210 | 260 | ||||
B | 310 | 300 | ||||
C | 100 | 160 | ||||
D | 240 | 340 | ||||
ΣP0 = 250 | ΣP1 = 300 |
(ii) Weighted Aggregative Price Index The index numbers discussed above assign equal importance to all the items included in the index. Construction of useful index numbers requires assigning of weight to each commodity according to its importance in the total phenomenon. This will make the index number more representative.
There are different methods of assigning weights. A weighted aggregative price index using base period quantities as weights is known as Laspeyre’s price index. A weighted aggregative price index using current period quantities as weights is known as Paasche’s price index.Laspeyre’s Price Index The formula is,
Steps
- (i) Multiply the current year price of each commodity with base year quantity to get P1 Q0, and then find ΣP0.
- (ii) Multiply the base year price of each commodity with the base year quantity to get p0 Q0 and then find ΣP0Q0.
- (iii) Apply the formula, \(\mathbf{P_{01}{{{\frac{ΣP_{1}Q_{0}}{ΣP_{0}Q_{0}}} }} × 100} \)
Table 18.7 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | 2018 | 2019 | ||||
Price | Quantity | Price | Quantity | |||
A | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | ||
B | 5 | 10 | 6 | 9 | ||
C | 4 | 14 | 5 | 13 | ||
D | 2 | 19 | 2 | 10 |
Table 18.8 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | 2018 | 2019 | P1Q0 | P0Q0 | ||
Price P0 | Quantity Q0 | Price P1 | Quantity Q0 | |||
A | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
B | 5 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
C | 4 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 5 |
D | 2 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
ΣP1Q0 = 200 | ΣP0Q0 = 160 |
Paasche’s Price Index The formula is,
Steps
- (i) Multiply the current year price of each commodity with current year quantity to get P1 Q0 and then find ΣP1 Q1.
- (ii) Multiply the base year price of each commodity with current year quantity to get P0 Q1 and then find ΣP0 Q1.
- (iii) Apply the formula, \(\mathbf{P_{01}={\frac{ΣP_{1}Q_{1}}{{ΣP_{0}Q_{1}}} × 100}} \)
Table 18.9 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | 2018 | 2019 | ||||
Price | Quantity | Price | Quantity | |||
A | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | ||
B | 5 | 10 | 6 | 9 | ||
C | 4 | 14 | 5 | 13 | ||
D | 2 | 19 | 2 | 10 |
Table 18.10 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | 2018 | 2019 | P1Q1 | P0Q1 | ||
Price P0 | Price P1 | Quantity Q1 | ||||
A | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 10 | |
B | 5 | 6 | 9 | 54 | 45 | |
C | 4 | 5 | 13 | 65 | 52 | |
D | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 20 | |
ΣP1Q1 = 159 | ΣP0Q1 = 127 |
- (i) Laspeyre’s Method
- (ii) Paasche’s Method
Table 18.11 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | 2018 | 2019 | ||||
Price | Amount Paid | Price | Amount Paid | |||
A | 6 | 90 | 15 | 150 | ||
B | 9 | 54 | 12 | 84 | ||
C | 4 | 100 | 10 | 300 | ||
D | 3 | 21 | 8 | 80 | ||
E | 4 | 40 | 7 | 56 |
Table 18.12 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | P0 | q0 | P1 | q1 | P0q0 | P1q0 | P0q1 | P1q1 |
A | 6 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 90 | 225 | 60 | 150 |
B | 9 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 54 | 72 | 63 | 84 |
C | 4 | 25 | 10 | 30 | 100 | 250 | 120 | 300 |
D | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 56 | 30 | 80 |
E | 4 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 70 | 32 | 56 |
ΣP0q0 = 305 | ΣP1q0 = 673 | ΣP0q1 = 305 | ΣP1q1 = 670 |
II. Method of Averaging Relatives When there is only one commodity, the price index is the ratio of the price of the commodity in the current period to that of the base period, expressed in percentages. The method of averaging relatives considers the average of these relatives when there are many commodities. There are two types of index numbers based on price relatives.
- (i) Simple average price relative index
- (ii) Weighted average price relative index
(i) Simple Average Price Relative Index The price index number using price relatives is defined as,
where,- P1 is the price of commodity in the current period
- P1 is the price of commodity in the base period
- \({{\frac{P_{1}}{{P_{0}}} × 100}} \) is the price relative
- n stands for the number of commodities
Table 18.13 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | Price in 2019 | Price 2020 | ||||
A | 50 | 70 | ||||
B | 40 | 60 | ||||
C | 80 | 90 | ||||
D | 110 | 120 | ||||
E | 20 | 20 |
Table 18.14 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Commodity | Price in 2019 P0 |
Price 2020 P1 |
Price Relative \({{\frac{P_{1}}{{P_{0}}} × 100}} \) |
|||
A | 50 | 70 | 140.0 | |||
B | 40 | 60 | 150.0 | |||
C | 80 | 90 | 112.5 | |||
D | 110 | 120 | 109.1 | |||
E | 20 | 20 | 100.0 | |||
Σ\({{\mathbf{\frac{P_{1}}{{P_{0}}} × 100}}}\) = 611.6 |
(ii) Weighted Average Price Relative Index In a weighted price relative index weights may be determined by the proportion or percentage of expenditure on total expenditure during the base period. It is the weighted arithmetic mean of price relatives. Formula for calculating weighted price relative index is as follows:
\({{\mathbf{P_{01} = {\frac{{{\mathbf{ΣW\frac{P_{1}}{{P_{0}}} × 100}}}}{{n}}}}}}\)